YFP 204: The Current State of Buying, Selling, and Refinancing a Home

The Current State of Buying, Selling, and Refinancing a Home

On this episode, sponsored by IBERIABANK/First Horizon, Tony Umholtz, a mortgage manager for IBERIABANK/First Horizon, discusses trends in the housing market coming out of the COVID-19 pandemic and the current landscape for those purchasing, refinancing, or selling a home.

About Today’s Guest

Tony graduated Cum Laude from the University of South Florida with a B.S. in Finance from the Muma College of Business. He then went on to complete his MBA. While at USF, Tony was part of the inaugural football team in 1997. He earned both Academic and AP All-American Honors during his collegiate career. After college, Tony had the opportunity to sign contracts with several NFL teams including the Tennessee Titans, New York Giants and the New England Patriots. Being active in the community is also important to Tony. He has served or serves as a board member for several charitable and non-profit organizations including board member for the Salvation Army, FCA Tampa Bay and the USF National Alumni Association. Having orchestrated over $1.1 billion in lending volume during his career, Tony has consistently been ranked as one of the top mortgage loan officers in the industry by the Scotsman’s Guide, Mortgage Executive magazine and Mortgage Originator magazine.

Summary

On this episode, Tim Ulbrich welcomes Tony Umholtz back to the show to discuss housing conditions in a post-pandemic world. While there may have been significant economic turmoil related to the COVID-19 pandemic, real estate continues to boom. Tony explains some possible motivations for such an active market include work and school being remote in many cases, those in apartments feeling cramped and seeking more space, and others still who have sought to purchase second homes in less populated areas.

Tony addresses some fears about a potential future housing bubble, explains some differences between buyers in the previous housing booms with current buyers, and differentiates the present home buying process, from the practices of the housing boom and conditions that led, in part, to the Great Recession of 2008.

With post-pandemic life offering more flexibility than ever before, Tony explains how that mobility is reflected in the housing market. He makes some predictions about the future of the real estate market and interest rates, shares insight regarding new generations aging up and into the housing market, and provides considerations for those who may be first-time homebuyers, contemplating making a home purchase in the present market.

Lastly, Tony explains the details of the Pharmacist Home Loan offered through IBERIABANK/First Horizon.

Mentioned on the Show

• Learn More About IBERIABANK/First Horizon’s Pharmacist Home Loan and Start the Pre-Approval Process
• 5 Steps to Getting a Home Loan
• YFP 136: The Ins and Outs of a Pharmacist Home Loan
• YFP 154: Getting a Home Loan in a Pandemic
• YFP 169: Helpful Tips for Getting a Mortgage
• YFP 191: 10 Common Mortgage Mistakes to Avoid
• Real Estate RPh: Helping Pharmacists Navigate the World of Real Estate
• YFP Real Estate Concierge Service
• Get a Loan
• Find an Agent
• Email Tony Umholtz: [email protected]
• Call Tony Umholtz: (813) 603-4255

Episode Transcript

Tim Ulbrich: Tony, welcome back to the show.

Tony Umholtz: Tim, thanks for having me. Good to be back.

Tim Ulbrich: Excited to have you back on the show. You’re a frequent guest I think at this point, and we’re going to link in our show notes to previous episodes in which you’ve been on talking about buying homes, selling homes, what this means from a lending standpoint, options, what’s the professional home loan, and we’ll dig into some of that here today as well. But for those that maybe didn’t catch you on a previous episode, give us some quick background and your current role with IBERIABANK/First Horizon.

Tony Umholtz: Sure, sure. Well, I’ve been in the business a long time now. I hate to say this, but it’s been almost 20 years in the mortgage banking business. And I have been just focused on residential lending has been my focus and have been with IBERIABANK for about 3.5 years. We recently did a merger with First Horizon, so hence the slash. But it will be a full combination by the fall. But it’s been a great company and we’ve been very excited.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, and excited for the collaboration here. And we’re going to talk as we get towards the end of the episode about the pharmacist home loan product as I suspect many of our listeners if they’re not already aware, that may be something that’s a good fit for them. But we’re going to spend most of our time today talking about really an interesting topic, and that is housing considerations in a post-pandemic world. I mean, it’s really been a strange year. And although there has been some significant economic turmoil related to the COVID-19 pandemic, certainly what that has meant for jobs that have been lost, the real estate market is continuing to boom. I think we’ve all probably heard stories, maybe some are dealing with it firsthand — I’ve talked with a colleague, a friend, a family member — it’s a wild market out there, Tony. So despite the challenges we’ve had economically related to COVID-19, what’s happening as we’re seeing this, really this significant real estate boom that’s going on across the country?

Tony Umholtz: Well, it’s a very interesting dynamic. And COVID-19 changed everything. But the real estate market has been a big winner. And the interesting part of all this is it’s — there’s been some long-term changes in demographics and even just housing in general, housing construction that just came to a point last year. And one of those things that we’re seeing here, Tim, is we were behind — our decade of new constructed homes, the past decade was the lowest it’s been since the ‘60s. Right? So the inventory created was nowhere near to meet the demand. And that’s one of the reasons we are where we are right now. And of course with COVID last year and so many supply chains being affected, employment being affected, you know, the raw materials, lumber, other materials needed to build homes, there’s less supply. So that’s just caused this challenge here, but it’s a good time — not every housing market is perfect, but the majority of housing markets in our country are thriving right now.

Tim Ulbrich: So Tony, you mentioned one thing in terms of the new home construction, some of the raw materials with lumber contributing to some of the issues we see, really simple supply and demand that I think is leading to a lot of the stories I know I’ve heard of bidding wars and offers that are well above asking and appraisal waivers and other things we’ll get to here in a moment. But what else? You know, I think of — is there some pent-up demand here of we had a housing market that last year if we think about the timing of COVID, you know, March of 2020, that really typically is kind of the beginning of the boom of the home buying season, obviously the pandemic might have tampered with some of that or perhaps people not picking up and moving that might have been going to other jobs or more people working from home and they want more space and so they’re looking to maybe get out of the city or move into the suburbs. What are some of these other factors beyond the construction, beyond the raw materials, that really has got us into this supply-and-demand position that we’re in right now?

Tony Umholtz: Well Tim, you mentioned a few things. And one of those is people moving to the suburbs. We’ve seen a big exodus from some of the big cities. I think one of the housing markets I could say that’s underpriced probably right now is New York City, right? There’s been a lot of — comparatively, there’s been a lot of exodus out of New York City, San Francisco and New York City, some of the bigger cities because people can work from home. A lot of people can. Not everyone can, but a lot of people can, and I think that’s changed a lot of things for a lot of people. The other thing too that I’ve seen is just when I mentioned demographics, the shifts, just the millennials, right? And even Generation Y, they’re starting to get into the housing market more and more, and they’re looking and saying, “Hey, I’m paying $2,000 in rent. I could own a house for this.” I think it’s starting a realization that you can own a home and have your own home. I’ve just seen a huge increase in first-time home buyers as well. I think that’s another big shift with this large group of our population moving up and aging. And then just low interest rates, right? I mean, you have the Fed being very supportive — our Federal Reserve is being very supportive and accommodative to help the economy get through this very, very difficult time. And the housing market’s been a winner. And anytime you have low barring costs, usually it leads to expansion in the real estate market. So that’s the multiple reasons why. And then you put on top of that a limited supply of homes, and that’s why we are where we are in many markets.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, and I’d like for a moment — you mentioned one factor, Tony, obviously interest rates, I’ve seen some numbers out there before that on average, you know, if you see a certain drop in basis points or certain percentage reduction in rates, that has obviously an impact on the demand, among other factors, of course. Rates aren’t the only thing. But tell us more about what we’ve been seeing really over the past year. I remember you and I talked about this back in March of 2020, here we are in April of 2021, you know, what have we seen in terms of rates, whether it’s first-time home buyers, those that are refinancing? And then not expecting you to be able to crystal ball this, but where might we see some of the trend of this going forward as I think it might have an impact for folks that are thinking about something like a refinance, you know? Does it make sense now? Or does it make sense that I kind of sit and hold and wait for the future?

Tony Umholtz: That’s a great question, Tim. It’s hard for me to pinpoint exactly. I can tell you trends that I’m seeing right now. You know, clearly we had unprecedented stimulus last year to help rates go to those levels. The Fed is still accommodative. And rates are still very, very good. Purchase money, meaning loans for purchasing a home, are going to be lower than refinancing. There is typically an adjustment — and it’s really a trickle-down effect from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on refinances. So there’s a slightly higher rate for refinancing versus a purchase money loan. But it still makes sense. We’re still writing a lot of refinances. And one area that I’m seeing opportunity, even though we’re off the lows — the lows were saw last fall, but we are off them now. But there’s still a lot of people with rates that are over 100 basis points, which is 1%, are over 1% savings level. And then the other thing that I see too is debt consolidation, people that own a home already and they have a lot of equity built up, but they have other loans that they’re paying higher interest rates, we’ve been able to really help some folks get their budget in line, really get themselves on a clean slate and really get a good savings plan. So I think refinancing can make sense no matter what the rates are. Everyone’s situation is different. And the trend for rates, I think what we’re going to see — and this is just, again, a disclaimer that I’m not an economist, but I do — I’m a bit of a nerd, I will admit, and I read a lot of this stuff and I have all kinds of subscriptions that I follow. But the trend is going to be some inflation this year. But the Fed is accommodative. So I think rates will be a little higher as the year goes on, but you have a lot of things that are going to help rates stay at a certain level. But I do think rates will trend a bit higher this year. On the other hand, looking out into the future, large government deficits and debt like we’re posing, I think we’ll hear even more of that here this week coming out, I mean, that’s all deflationary typically. So what that means is it puts pressure on rates to go down, right? So it’s just an interesting time. It’s hard to really be a crystal ball seeing the future, but this year, I think the trend is going to be slightly higher rates.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, and as you mentioned, Tony, we saw rates really at a significant low back in the fall, but I do think — and you probably see this more than I do every day — I’ve talked with a handful of individuals in the last several weeks that still may have purchased back in, you know, I remember fall of 2018, rates on a 30-year fixed mortgage were north of 4.25-4.5% for many folks. So I think there still is opportunity out there. And for folks that maybe haven’t gone through that evaluation to see do the numbers make sense? Of course there’s other factors beyond that, not to exclude refinance as an opportunity, even as we may see rates tick up here in a little bit. Tony, one of the things I wanted to get your feel on, you’re in this every day, obviously, in your market down in Florida but also have a good pulse on what’s going on nationally. Here in Columbus, I mean, the folks that I have talked to, it seems like above asking is the norm and in some cases, significantly above asking, bidding wars that are ongoing, sometimes appraisal waivers that are happening, and I think it just raises some attention and warrants some conversation about like, what are the implications of those types of things? You know, I think for folks that are out there shopping now or soon to be out there shopping throughout the spring and the summer, before you find yourself looking and then within 24 hours, you’re in a bidding war, like what are some things, you know — No. 1, are you seeing those and are hearing about that across different markets? And then for the buyer, what are some things that they should just be thinking about of the implications of those types of scenarios?

Tony Umholtz: That’s a great question. And absolutely we’re seeing that in a lot of markets. We lend across the country, so we’re seeing it in multiple, multiple markets. It is — and some are worse than others. But they’re all pretty heated in a lot of ways. One thing I’ll mention just on the waivers of contingencies, I think you’ve got to be very careful with that. I think you need to be very aware of what you’re getting into because when you say I’m just waiving the appraisal contingency, well, if you were to pay $300,000 for a house and it comes in at $280,000, well, the bank is going to use $280,000, the lender is going to use $280,000 as the price point, right? So in that case, you’re coming to the table with $20,000 more in equity. So there is some risk here involved when you waive these contingencies. So I think, you know, I know it’s hard. And I get calls all the time from listing agents on pre-approval letters I’ve sent on behalf of our customers, and they want — they ask me all these questions, and obviously I can’t answer anything personal. But they tell me, “Your input was important because we’ve got 12 offers.” You know? “And I’m taking them all to my seller tonight, and we’re going to meet and go through each one.” Some of the things I’ve learned — one thing I’ve learned from a couple very veteran real estate agents, this might help the audience here, is a lot of my clients will say, “You know, just put the minimum amount of my offer on your pre-approval letter.” So if I’m offering $300,000, just put $300,000 on that letter. So we’ll do that a lot thinking it’s a negotiating tact. But what a lot of these agents have told me, they say, “We actually like the ones that say $500,000 on it.” And the reason why is they know the client’s very qualified.

Tim Ulbrich: They know it, yep.

Tony Umholtz: So they look at it differently than I think a lot of people do because a negotiating is a negotiating. They’re trying to find the strongest candidate that’s going to close. And it’s not just about the price, even. It’s also — price is important, but I think it’s the ease of closing and a lot of times, you’re competing against cash offers too. So you have — and they might be a little lower, so you have to overcome and say, “Hey, mine has financing, but I’ve got to put my best foot forward.” But I’d be very — again, very cautious about waiving these contingencies. I think you have to have some sort of out. If you’re working with a realtor, you have to see if you can negotiate that in. If the appraisal comes in low, it’s going to cause big problems for a lot of people.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, and I’m glad you said that, Tony. I think this is a good reminder, you know, something I’ve shared many times on the show before, but especially in the market that we’re in where negotiation is not in your favor as the buyer, right? It’s very much a seller’s market. You’ve got to really take a step back and hopefully objectively evaluate before you’re out there even shopping, what does this mean in the context of the rest of the financial plan, right? And so you know, having a pulse of the market of if you’re looking at homes that are $300,000-400,000, what might that actually end up being in the market? Is it more like $320,000? $330,000? $420,000? $430,000? Depending on offers and so forth. And how does that work out for the rest of your plan? Run out those numbers. Work with your planner, work with your coach to really evaluate that because I think that obviously home buying can be a very exciting, emotional thing. It’s a very important step for many people in their financial plan, but we’ve got to make sure we’re doing it in the right context of everything else that we’re trying to achieve. Tony, the other question I have for you — it made me think about this when you said cash offers, more of them being out there, and I’ve heard the same thing, is how does this then work out for folks that are trying to sell a current home to buy? So I’m thinking of a contingency upon the current sale of a home to buy. You know, is this market even less favorable to them? Or are there strategies that they can employ for those that are in that position where they aren’t able to buy until they also have the sale of their home that they can be competitive against other buyers that are in the market?

Tony Umholtz: We’ve seen a lot of these lately with the contingencies. We’ve had a couple approvals that we’ve done where we’ve had to — the client clearly had to sell their house before they could afford a new one. But once they listed the house, they sold it so quickly that it really was a fast process.

Tim Ulbrich: OK.

Tony Umholtz: So I think the challenge is you don’t want to have that — it’s going to be hard to win over 12 — or say there’s 10 other people bidding on the house at the same time, it’s going to clearly be challenging to win if you have a contingency. But there are some situations where you’ll be surprised that that house sells pretty fast. That’s the other piece is if you want to sell your home, you kind of have to be on your toes and find something pretty quickly.

Tim Ulbrich: Absolutely.

Tony Umholtz: Or negotiate some lease back with the buyer of your home.

Tim Ulbrich: Tony, one of the things I’ve been thinking about lately is considering how hot the market is, considering just the unique factors we have of kind of what’s going on with interest rates and potential inflation and supply and demand and new construction being down, all these variable, like living through 2008, I can’t help but think back to man, are there lessons that we learned there that we should also be thinking about now as we’re really continuing to see this market as hot as it is? You know, essentially is there reason for concern? And I saw a statistic leading up to this episode that says — this was reported from Google — that the search for the phrase “When is the housing market going to crash?” was up 2,450% over the last month, so obviously others are thinking about this. Some research from JP Morgan, quoting that “after robust gains over the past five years, the nationwide nominal house price index is now 40% above its 2012 low point and 4% above the peak that was reached in 2006.” And they go on to say, “If 2006 was a historic bubble, then current price levels should be looked at more closely.” You know, you think about obviously the value of homes going up much faster than we’re seeing in terms of individual’s income, we’re still coming out of some unemployment, you know, related to the pandemic, people getting positions back, so my question here is like, are homes overvalued? You know, what’s the concern of this? And like what is different here from what we experienced in part related to the Great Recession of 2008?

Tony Umholtz: Great questions. I mean, you know, lots of things that you mentioned there. And I’ll give you some feedback from my experience in the business before that time. So I started in the mortgage business almost 20 years ago now. And I lived through that. I was actually — my third year, I think I was in my fourth year in the business was 2005. And I was still pretty young at the time, but I was one of the top loan originators in my company nationally at the time. I wrote 400 loans that year. And I look back at that year, and I was always a very fairly risk-averse person. So you know, I wasn’t one of those lenders doing crazy loans. But back then, Fannie Mae even took loans with no income documentation. I remember running them through Fannie Mae’s system, and they just needed a pay stub and that’s it. So I’ll give you the differences that I’m seeing, and I’ll just equip everyone with the most knowledge they can have here. So back in that timeframe, half of the business I wrote was people who were speculators. They literally were going to buy the homes to either rent them or flip them. That’s what it was. You know, everyone was caught in this train, I’m waiting in line to buy a home to flip it, to rent it. It was that kind of thing. And the other half was owner-occupied clients. So that was the mix of my volume back then. Nowadays, I’d say 95% of the loans that we write are owner-occupied homes. And some of them are like true second homes where people are literally going to be moving to Florida or to another area as soon as they retire. It’s I want to lock in my property now because we’re retiring in a few years. It’s that kind of thing. So the amount of speculation that I’m seeing on an individual buyer basis is much different. Now there’s a lot more institutional landlords out there, hedge fund-types that own rental property, but it’s not to the degree that — I remember back in ‘05, it was just so many people, the greed level, lending standards were much different. We could — like I mentioned, we could do loans with very little documentation. Lots of lenders did — and I’ll share this with the audience if anyone’s ever seen the Big Short movie, I was on the phone, probably 28 years old at the time, with Bear Stearns. I was one of the bigger producers. I remember Bear Stearns mentioning to us that they would buy 100% no documentation loans from us.

Tim Ulbrich: Sheesh.

Tony Umholtz: And I just remember thinking to myself, that’s — and I hadn’t been in the business that long, maybe four years or so — and I remember thinking, that doesn’t seem right. And then of course, couple years later, you know, I had the foresight.

Tim Ulbrich: Come to find out…

Tony Umholtz: But come to find out everything had happened. But the amount of greed that was in the marketplace was a little bit, it was a different environment than it is today. And not to say that things — but the amount of leverage that was in the environment, like anyone could get a loan. It was — people were just buying loans in speculation. Now it seems more fundamental. But you know, the one thing I will add in is interest rates, what does that do? Because if you see interest rates double from here, that’s going to affect affordability. And then from my vantage point, I think with rates being low, prices have risen. But one thing that you should look into is the historical real estate values. And even though we had that peak in ‘06, you’ll notice that we dropped off a lot, and then it typically hovers around that 3-4% long-term appreciation. I think we might be a little over that right now, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we kind of just huddle along that line. Again, never say never, but it’s one of those things where it’s hard to — I don’t see the leverage, the difficulty in getting a mortgage today is much different than it was 14, 15, 16 years ago. It’s not — if anyone’s gone through the process, we really do due diligence, right? We see your income, your assets, we see your credit, we verify everything.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, and I was just going to share the same thing, Tony. If anybody has gone through this within the last couple years or even since 2008, you know the difference in terms of paperwork, I saw the difference in terms of transparency of information, easier to understand documentation from a lendee perspective if you’re willing to read through all of that paperwork. So I’m glad you shared that. I think the circumstances are different, and I think it’s important for folks to understand this is not a 2008 type of scenario or 2006 type of scenario in terms of documentation required, in terms of the types of mortgages that are out there, the lending practices, in terms of how conservative I would argue they are today compared to where they were back then. Tony, you said affordability, and that’s something that’s also top of mind for me is you know, I think of pharmacists — obviously, because that’s our community here — where incomes are relatively flat for many pharmacists right now. In some cases, we’re actually seeing incomes go down just because of hours of work that are available and for a variety of industry pressures that we have on those positions — and I’m generalizing here. Of course that’s not true for all positions. But it makes me think, then, about that case where for pharmacists, specifically we may see wages that are flat, obviously housing costs here going up significantly, we’re not even talking about perhaps general inflation in other areas that may be coming into the future. But even beyond pharmacists, like I think this question of affordability is a really interesting one. And you mentioned interest and demand among millennials. I guess the other side of that coin I would ask is like is this market making housing unaffordable for perhaps a generation in some regards? That this is going to impact many people getting into a home and the economic benefits that can come from that.

Tony Umholtz: I think it clearly can influence a lot of people. I mean, you think about in certain markets and just how much prices have gone up, I mean, again, borrowing costs have kept things pretty darn low. That’s helped. But one thing about borrowing costs versus income — and flat income is not, obviously you’re not seeing that gain every year.

Tim Ulbrich: Right.

Tony Umholtz: But normally, the income increases and the increase in prices, it’s not — the increases in prices is outstripped because of that borrowing cost. But you’re clearly right. The one thing that I will throw in, the other thing that’s to me is a little more frightening is rent prices.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, that’s right.

Tony Umholtz: They came down right when COVID hit because of the shock to the market, but they’re really surging in most markets. So when I have clients that we do our preapprovals, we see what they’re paying in rent, and it’s eye-opening. So I think that that’s the other side of this is if rents are where they’re at and you look at that affordability, you know, that’s going to be a challenge. And this is one thing we just have to keep an eye on. The markets are — they’ll correct themselves eventually. But the Fed may have to keep rates low longer.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah. Is that — on the rent side, Tony, I’m sure it’s more complicated than I’m suggesting, but is that a trickle down effect of supply and demand on the buying side? That you know, if there’s not as many homes to go around for people that are interested in buying, you then increase the demand on the rent side, which further drives up rent price?

Tony Umholtz: It’s twofold. So I mean, part of it is supply and demand with rentals too. You know, if you have very little vacancy in your apartment building, you can command higher rents. The other thing you’ve got to watch is as there’s more and more multifamily, which is an apartment complexes or rentals being built, that’ll also put some pressure on rents as well and I think over time will catch up, builders will catch up. It might take a couple of years, but I think there will be an equilibrium, it always does shift. And the other thing I’ll just mention too with COVID is none of us saw COVID coming, right, until it hit. And with the Great Recession of ‘08, we saw some warning signs. You can never predict what it’s going to be. Right? We don’t know this for sure. And you know, we’ve put a lot of safeguards in to prevent some of the things that happened in ‘08. But it could be something different, right? And we don’t know what that will be to impact, but at the end of the day, you need a place to sell. And it was funny, I was on the phone call with a past client this morning. And he had bought his home in 2007, probably the absolute worst time to buy it, and he said, “You know, I just kept it rented.” I think the value got — down here in Florida, there’s parts of this area that got cut in half. I mean, we were hit probably as hard as anywhere in the country. And it came all the way back and is well above what he paid for it now. But that’s one of the things about housing is even investors, if you rent the property, you get a return not just from appreciation. That’s how — this isn’t a talk about investments, but that’s why it’s always important to have that if you own an investment property, that it cash flows, right? So that’s what you’re looking for.

Tim Ulbrich: Tony, one of the other questions that comes to mind here is if I’m someone listening who maybe I’m interested in buying a home, but it’s not a burning need in the moment. I could wait. Is there any merit into hey, let’s let things cool off a little bit, let’s let supply normalize and ride this out for a little bit? Or do you think because of how significant the supply and demand issue is now, that we might be in this type of a market for awhile?

Tony Umholtz: I think it’s going to be awhile before we see things really calm down. I mean, it’s — everyone’s market is different too. I think we have to be clear on that. Most of the country is experiencing a very robust housing market, but every place is different and every pocket of the city can be different. So I think it’s your individual area, but I think overall, in general terms, it’s just going to be up to the person. I don’t think — you know, I’ll just go back and I’ll talk about last year, and I’ll go back to 2017-18. I had conversations with clients of mine, and a lot of these were people that I had done business with for years, so as some of them took a pause, I had a couple of them sold their homes in ‘16 and ‘17 because the market had gone up nicely, said, “I’m going to rent for awhile, then I’m going to buy back in.” Well, that didn’t work so well. So even my own feelings, I remember a couple years ago thinking, things are pretty hot right now, it’s 2019. So it’s hard to predict, and I think you’ve got to look at your family situation. This is a lifestyle decision. It’s not like buying a stock in Apple or Amazon, right? It’s a — you live there. So while it’s an important, big investment, over time, it’s going to be OK. And I think the amount of money you’re going to have to pay in rent will be something you have to keep in mind when you’re paying that rent versus owning a home that you’re building equity in just by making the payments. So if you absolutely don’t have to buy, yeah, you could wait it out, see what happens. But I don’t know how much better it’s going to be. Then the other side of it what are interest rates doing?

Tim Ulbrich: That’s right.

Tony Umholtz: So if we see interest rates moves a half-point higher, then even if prices stay the same and they flatline, you’re going to be paying more per month. So there’s a lot of factors to go into it.

Tim Ulbrich: I’m glad you mentioned the rates again too, Tony, because I think that we often throw around terms like a half-point, quarter-point, that obviously if folks haven’t run numbers before, I’d encourage you to do so. I mean, a half a point, three-quarters of a point, of course as that increases on a $300,000, $400,000, $500,000 loan over 30 years, we’re talking about tens of thousands of dollars of difference, if not more than that. And so this comes back to the conversation about not only where are rates from a time perspective but things like credit and optimizing your credit and understanding your credit score and how to improve your credit, things that we’ve talked about on the show before but obviously why credit such an important part of the financial plan, as we talk here related to home buying and interest rates. Tony, the other trend I want to get your perspective on, you and I have talked about this briefly offline, you know, we’ve mentioned a little bit about the work-from-home movement and perhaps because of this, folks moving more out to the suburbs. I’m also thinking about just beyond their current area, the flexibility that they may now have, not within their area but to move to a warmer climate or to move to a beach town or something that wasn’t on the table before but now because there’s perhaps more flexibility in their work environment that they’re able to do that. So are you seeing those trends, especially knowing where you’re at down in Florida where you’re seeing more folks that are looking for a second home or picking up and moving because they have more flexibility with their work?

Tony Umholtz: The transition has been amazing. I’ve — a couple of stories this week that we have. We have a couple of closings for clients here in Tampa that are from New York City. They can live anywhere. And I’ve been getting a lot of referrals from Miami as well that a lot of folks moving down from New York. And some of them have lived in the city their whole life and just are ready for a change. And they can remotely, and it’s freed them up. I think you’ll see Miami become a major financial district in our country now. I mean, you’re seeing a big exodus of kind of the Wall Street financial firms moving down, relocating their businesses down there. And we’re seeing a lot of it here in Tampa, a lot of second home purchases too for those that can afford them because they can use them and take their kids that might be homeschooled right now or doing online learning. I’ve done a lot of lending on Amory Island, which is down here about an hour and a half south of Tampa. And it’s a really neat spot, but it’s just — the amount of demand because people can do that. They can live there, they can live there part of the time and work there and enjoy the beach. But in other places too, I’ve seen other second home markets around the country where people are taking advantage of this ability to work remotely. And I think the technology has been — this is something that’s always been there. 2020 was a catalyst, right, for all this to happen. And I think you’re just going to continue to see that trend, although there is some of that movement back for some people to get back into the office, especially as the vaccinations have really grown across the country. But I still think you’re going to see this ability to work remotely. Even with me, I’m in the office a couple days a week, and then I work from my home office as well. So we can work effectively both places.

Tim Ulbrich: Yeah, I think every time you and I have connected, Tony, over the last year we’re probably both at home. Sometimes the kids are in the background. It’s just part of the new norm, you know? I think that, to your point, like we saw this coming. I mean, the desire for a more flexible, remote work environment and then obviously the pandemic in 2020 was the catalyst. And it’s going to be interesting to see what goes back, you know, to normal and what stays. You also have the advantage down there of no state income tax in Florida, right? So that’s a bonus for people that are looking there.

Tony Umholtz: We do.

Tim Ulbrich: Let’s transition, Tony. I want to talk a little bit about the pharmacist home loan that you all offer through IBERIABANK and First Horizon. I suspect many of our listeners are already aware of this product from previous podcasts that we’ve had. We’ve got information also on the website, YourFinancialPharmacist.com/home-loan. But I think for many of our listeners, when it comes to home buying, I think of, OK, what are the most common barriers? Well, student loan debt typically rises to the top. And then the other thing I think about is usually the cash available as a new practitioner or a pharmacist who’s getting started to be able to put a down payment on a home. And I think the pharmacist home loan offered through IBERIABANK/First Horizon really allows folks an opportunity that they may have thought otherwise was impossible or weren’t aware of the option that was out there. So tell us a little bit about this mortgage loan option that you all offer. What’s the product about? Minimum down payment, maximum loan amount? And then some of the requirements for one to qualify.

Tony Umholtz: Sure. Well, the product’s been just a great help for so many people. And I think the big advantage of this program is you can do as little as 3-5% down with no PMI. So if you’re a first-time home buyer, you could do 3% down with no mortgage insurance. If you’ve owned before, it’s 5% down, again, no mortgage insurance. And the interest rates are very, very strong. In most cases, they’re better than a client putting 20% down, which is an advantage. And as far as the maximum loan amounts go, we currently are capped at $548,250 as a maximum loan amount for the product. And there’s a minimum credit score of 700. So you have to have at least a 700 credit score to qualify. But other than that, it’s really — that’s the qualifier. So there’s nothing else really you have to be concerned about. There’s not a clear reserve requirement or anything to that degree. And there’s no prepayment penalty on the mortgage either. So you can pay the loan off early if you choose to. Just is a great way to get into the housing market. And PMI is — you look at a $400,000 or $500,000 home, and you’re paying hundreds of dollars a month at that point.

Tim Ulbrich: That’s right. Yeah, great stuff. And we’ll link, again, in the show notes, YourFinancialPharmacist.com/home-loan. We’ve got lots of great information on the site about the product, about home buying considerations, some great educational content there as well. So I hope our listeners will check out that post, “Five Steps to Getting a Home Loan,” again, YourFinancialPharmacist.com/home-loan. Tony, you know, two of the collaborations that we have among others as well that really have been I think a big plus for us at YFP and our community, obviously the work that we’ve been doing with you, tapping into your expertise on the podcast here for pharmacists that are looking for financing options on a home loan purchase. So if you’re in the market for buying a home, I would encourage you to reach out to Tony at IBERIABANK/First Horizon. And for those that are buying and also looking for an agent, a shoutout here to Nate Hedrick, the Real Estate RPh, who is there to help you find an agent in your area that would be a good fit for you. And Nate’s there to walk alongside you in that journey. You can find more information about that at YourFinancialPharmacist.com, click on “Buy or Refi a Home” at the top of the page, and you’ll see more information about the professional home loan with IBERIA/First Horizon as well as an option to find an agent. So Tony, thank you so much for taking the time to join again. What’s the best way that our listeners can reach out to you if they have questions or want to get in touch to learn more about the product?

Tony Umholtz: Definitely by email. My email address: [email protected]. And also our office number, (813) 603-4255. I know it’s all listed on the website, but those are the best ways. We have a great team, and glad to help. Everyone’s situation is different, so we love to help. That’s what we do.

Tim Ulbrich: Tony, great stuff again. Thanks so much for taking time to come on the show.

Tony Umholtz: Thanks, Tim. Good to be here.

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